. I did the calculations for Blair. . Labor might have even been able to capitalise on the popularity of QLD state Labors handling of the pandemic going into the election. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. Whether these deals actually serve the nation more broadly is another thing. I think some of you might recall on ABCs Election night coverage in 2019, Antony Greens surprise when early votes came through from Blair which suggested that a swing was in play that would lose Neumann his safe seat. And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". He joined Gough Whitlams ministry in 1972, and served as Treasurer for the final five months of the Whitlam government in 1975. @Votante Before their spills I thought the Liberals and Nationals both choosing their leaders from Queensland was an odd choice given its played up as being important to their performance, because they just have no more room to expand upon here anymore. Candidates are listed using information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. How dare you denigrate my writing, or wit by calling me a HACK Is that so? Guide to the 2022 Australian election Guide to the 2019 Australian election Guide to the 2018 Victorian state election Lets catch up on LIberation Day!! The area is a solid mix between traditional working class Labor voters and center left Labor voters. Results 1983-2019. We cant afford to let the LNP get hold of Blair. Libs will offset any loses in wa with seats in QLD, Nsw and Vic. Comparing the validity of O.S. The Sydney seats that could serve up a surprise at this election. Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. ", The promotional page adds a quote: "You should be free to think for yourself and express your beliefs and lawfully live out those beliefs without fear of retribution, losing your job or having your reputation attacked.". The Coalition went to the 2019 election under a third Premier, Gladys Berejiklian, who survived a 2.3% swing to secure a narrow majority with 48 seats, losing two seats to Labor and four to the cross-bench. More often than not, whoever the party brass *thinks* is leadership material is just whoever they personally happen to like. The margins in most of these places make it seem like they are out of reach for the Libs but clearly their internal polling is detecting something else. All the declared nominees have been invited to come along to this event to provide a brief overview of themselves and why you should vote for them. Election Platform 2022. While polling errors are not consistent it is suspicious to believe that Labor are getting the best result in QLD since 2007 when they last won government and most of the marginals here in QLD. Forest Lake, QLD, 4078, PO Box 6022 Labor hold. Electorate Officer to Senator the Hon. This is a rural-urban hybrid seat, on the outer suburban fringes. Elected to the House of Representatives for Oxley, Queensland, 2016. The 1949 incarnation's best-known member was Bill Hayden, the Labor Opposition Leader between 1977 and 1983, when he resigned under pressure the same day that the 1983 election which swept Bob Hawke to power was called. She grew up in the Global South, with parents who worked in international aid, and moved back to Australia in 2015. I thundered back at her that is a disgraceful thing to say. Geography The bookies must seem to think the vote will blow back hard in Labors favor in this seat. On February 19, 2018, Pennsylvania's Supreme Court released a new congressional map for Pennsylvania. Blair was super marginal at this election because Labor suffered a huge swing here and in most of QLD in 2019. Senator Scarr is acting as an Ipswich corridor MP. Federally funded infrastructure projects that should have been completed years ago, are still in the design and/or consultation process due to incompetence and lack of urgency for communities affected by these required projects. Our 2022 Victories. In 1996, the seat became most well known for controversial social conservative MP Pauline Hanson who was elected as a Liberal-turned-independent, but the seat was heavily redistributed in 1997, splitting her main support base of Ipswich between Oxley and Blair. No contest. Found this interesting; repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, SOX, is on the official party platform for TX Republicans . Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. Second, its telling how the PM has chosen to spend the early days of the campaign on the offensive in Parramatta, McEwen, Greenway, Dunkley, Dobell etc. The date change was necessitated by court order. Re-elected 2019 and 2022. Page. He served as Leader of the Opposition on Council from 2012 but retired at the 2016 election after winning pre-selection for Oxley. This contrasts with the pre Whitlam era where the great bulk of ethnic Chines voters were supporters of Taiwan. If we just look at this election cycle I agree. or more precisely he id]s a massive sook, & cry-baby, & mamas boy !!. In 1998 Hanson contested the seat of Blair, winning 36% of the primary vote but losing to the Liberals (who got 21%) under Australia's system of preferential voting. 1. Labor paying $1.03 to win on Sportsbet, Coalition $10.00. Government to take advice on social media app, WA premier responds to reports Aishwaryas family seeking compensation, Not willing to wait: Push for urgent action in fight against deadly and incurable disease, 'Exhausted' community marks a year since traumatic floods, Motorcyclist slammed for perilous stunt on busy freeway: Bloody idiot. Its almost as if they want the very land they live on to be destroyed by poor economic, and environmental management. I see you say ALP aim to hold on here on other pages. Wont that diminish the main electoral threads ? Now you really have gone way, way, way too far !. High Street Suburbs include Redbank, Forest Lake, Richlands, Durack, Inala, Jamboree Heights and Jindalee. Assessment Blair is a very marginal seat but the current margin is a low point for Labor since the major redistribution redrew the seat in 2006. This is a list of electoral division results for the 2022 Australian federal election in the state of Queensland . The ensuing by-election was won by the ALPs Les Scott. year at Oxley Christian College. Area 159 sq km Location description The Division of Oxley consists of: part of the Brisbane City Council, part of the Ipswich City Council, and part of the Logan City Council. Dick actually believes that he is ENTITLED to receive individual special treatment !.Dick cannot accept that HE IS NOT ENTITLED. NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. Hope that clears a few things up for you mate Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]. Well !? 2. I never said the LNP would win as I do think Labor are favourites. Neumann was assisted by a redistribution which saw Blair take in more of pro-Labor Ipswich, losing rural conservatives areas to the northwest. The seat of Oxley was created as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives at the 1949 election. Oxley. Ipswich, particularly its South West fringes have been at the center of QLDs rapid population growth since 2019. Nobody believes me but we shall see! For there to be a close election both leaders would need to be as unpopular as one another. Let's find an outstanding community Independent candidate for the NSW state electorate of Oxley! Furtive Lawngnome Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Stronger Communities Round 8 - EOIs now Open! Speaker of the House of Representatives from 26.7.2022. State govt only survived on the covid vote. How ridiculous & completely absurd Remember the lessons of 1993 and 2004 there is no such thing as invincibility in politics. Aston and Menzies are probably at high marks for Labor though. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. Major "Moogy" Sumner Senate Candidate for SA. Thompson held Blair at the 2001 and 2004 elections, but lost in 2007 to Labor candidate Shayne Neumann. Australian Federal Election 2022 Michelle Hood February 17, 2022 2022 is an election year, will you be showing up to vote 1 for One Nation? The teals and Greens seats arent likely going to be won by Labor now they have got them. The directive says pollies can come back from the Canberra Bubble by air only, if and when their (hard) border pass application is approved. Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane . 2022 federal election Division finder - NSW Division finder - Vic. Safe Labor seat, which is a rare and valuable thing in Queensland. They have a lot more to gain in targeting the remaining Lib seats in Melbourne and Adelaide. Crime scene visits by juries District maps are only available for elections in 20172018 and later. Elected history-making governors. How insulting. Election results in Blair at the 2019 federal election Toggle between two-party-preferred votes and primary votes for Labor, the Liberal National Party and One Nation. If anything, Im surprised Morrison is actually spending so little time in his own marginals like Reid and Banks. You cant really compare it to the Hanson era seat. Her hopes fell short at the 1998 election, where One Nation only managed to elect a single Senator, despite a national result of over 8%. Unfortunately for him, there are almost no marginal Labor seats available in QLD. And 1977 was affected by the 1975 circumstances. This was done to ensure each electorate has roughly . Hanson was a prominent independent MP and, in 1997, founded the One Nation party in support of her political views. On May 10, 2022, the state of New York changed the primary election date for U.S. House of Representatives candidates from 06/28/2022 to 08/23/2022. Hes been perfectly willing to not just play defence and campaign in Labor held seats. The ABC has a great write up on how all that works, and if it even . Scott held the seat for the remainder of the Hawke/Keating government, up to the 1996 election. 1050 First Street, NE Each candidate will give a short overview of their plans along with taking questions from the audience. Creating jobs, lower taxes, better health, education. We are seeking expressions of interest from people who believe they have what it takes to be an outstanding State representative. Sort this out or neither of yousell be coming to Chrissie!!. House of Representatives Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. They will absolutely dominate the ground game all the way up until polls close. When Scott Morrison strode into Abla's Pastries in gentrifying Granville on Thursday, it marked his fifth trip to the Labor-held . The figures below show the number of voters on the certified list for the 2022 federal election. Red China in those days did not have commissars posted to Queensland uni to ensure that the views of the Red RAt regime were the policy of the uni administration. The commentariat here are far too bullish on the Coalitions chances. Election night will likely be a shocker again and the coalition are being underestimated. Secure .gov websites use HTTPS QLD is a no mans land for Labor federally. Huge difference, at least those leaders actually inspired people. Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}273632S 1525559E / 27.609S 152.933E / -27.609; 152.933, This article is about the current federal electorate. Another tossup at this stage, Labor could be in serious danger here if they have another poor showing. Federal MPs. Oxley was traditionally based on the regional city of Ipswich, though these days Ipswich is less regional and more part of greater Brisbane. trips is puerile, & irrelevant. It extends along the Ipswich Motorway from Darra to Redbank. from 2000 to 2004. Elected Official of the Australian Labor Party (Qld) from 2000 to 2008. Labor really needs people like Shayne to help rebuild in QLD after going BACKWARDS a seat. I can give you a scenario where Labor gains Higgins,Boothby,Hasluck,Pearce,Swan,LaTrobe,Chisholm,Deakin,Flinders and STILL lose the election because of their inevitable losses in QLD and NSW. You have entered an incorrect email address! We haven't announced any federal election candidates in your area. There are certain posters who very obviously just project their own personal biases onto entire electorates and/or do nothing but constant, thinly veiled advocacy as analysis, but given that Labors entire strategy seems to hinge on electoral Bradburyism, I dont see an easy path to victory. Both of these industries were heavily unionised throughout much of the 20th century, the strong connection between Labor and the unions was a healthy pipeline of votes directly to Labor from their blue-collar base. Their redundancies had coincided with globalisation. Candidates are listed using Alot of rot on in this section of comments. Come along and support our LNP Candidate for Oxley as we launch the Oxley campaign. 1996,1977 and 1975 were all better for the coalition and worse for Labor. from 2004 to 2008. Organiser of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) Facebook; Twitter; Senator Matt Canavan. The Federal election results in Cowper showed that many people of this area want to be represented by someone who cares about climate action, protecting the environment, social equity and integrity in politics. Most people around here in SEQLD seem to love Scott Morrison at least that is the feedback I have been getting on Facebook, the only people that dont seem to like him are young folks. I had good links to ethnic Chinese in 1970s when the Friends of Free China used the same Post Office Box as the Captive Nations Council. Check INEC Presidential Election results 2023 that have been uploaded on INEC Portal so far. Develop This story is written in a personal capacity. Then they can find one of those outstanding women they are always banging on about take the senate spot. Figures below show the number of voters on the official party platform for TX Republicans greater Brisbane a close both!, whoever the party brass * thinks * is leadership material is just whoever personally. Sumner Senate candidate for SA the pandemic going into the election plans along taking. 2001 and 2004 there is no such thing as invincibility in politics women. 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